For years, I tried to come up with a draft list for the Packers. I think I've gotten 3 or 4 right in all the picks. When they were a doormat, it was easy. Take one of the best guys available in the top 4 or 5! Not true now. Not so easy.
I kept thinking, figure one guy you "might get." Then I changed it to, "pick 2 or 3 guys you might get." That's worked fairly well. I hit, on the first round, about once every three or four years. In other words, I've gotten 3 right so far. Not good!
I honestly believed that this year it would be Gareon Conley. Reason? 6-4, 220#, and quick! Then I saw he was 6-2, 205#. Latest is that he's 6-0, and goes about 190#. He's the size of other guys, so not quite the "catch" he would have been if he was taller, and heavier, and still turned in quick times.
So, I figured, add Watt to the mix. Pedigree. Sometimes the speed/strength stats aren't as important as the sheer desire to succeed. Matthews came from that kind of blood line, so does Watt. Most Kentucky Derby entries are from good blood lines, not pulled off the open range.
My 3rd pick isn't a pick. If those two are gone, don't be surprised if the Packers don't trade down, and add an extra pick in the 4th or 5th, and possibly a late round pick next year.
This is a strange year for picking the draft.