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I think they'll be somewhere between 6-10 and 10-6. Seriously, so many changes and variables right now I don't have any idea how well they'll do.
Letting MM, CM3 and Cobb go were three things the majority of us thought needed to happen. Plus they bolstered the Edge, added a needed Safety and OG. The right things are happening. Still a long way to go.
When leadership, people and strategy changes a team goes through several stages:
1) Forming. Morale is average, everyone is waiting to see what happens.
2) Storming. New ideas emerge, new leadership assesses talent and previous methods, and matches to new tactics, relationships develop between coaches and players as they plan how to implement. Morale does decrease here as few like change.
3) Norming. This is training (physical and mental) and implementation of new strategy. Morale is at lowest because successful implementation is difficult. But it starts to build as players/coaches become familiar with each other and new playbook.
4) Performing. Relationships are established, all are comfortable with newly implemented strategy and tactics and they begin to perform as a team. Morale improves as performance improves. The sky's the limit.
The question is, how fast do they get from forming to performing? Six months? Three years? It doesn't happen overnight.
Will there be a learning curve sure but this this is the NFL, not the SEC, or ACC or B1G. As a player you are paid to get prepared mentally and physically before OTA's or camp. Moral should be high, you missed the playoffs last year you have something to prove and get back to the excepted level of to compete and win championships. If you dont have a chip on your shoulder and motivation to get back the playoffs and compete for a championship thats on the individual.
Its a win now league. Do you think the staff thinks it gets a 1st year mulligan? No and I hope to hell they know that and each guy in camp should have the same mindset. As I said yes learning curve but nobody gets a pass year 1